Month: January 2013

A Volatility Index of the Volatility Index – meet the VVIX

Anyone that’s ever traded the VIX Options would have experienced some strange behavior that defies traditional Options models. The VIX skyrockets, but your VIX calls are not making money – this is by far the most common occurrence. The simple answer is that VIX Options are priced off the VIX Futures contract because there is …

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Options Pinning strategies

There was some interest in the concept of Options Pinning strategies on various posts – so I tried an experiment with this concept. Last Friday, with some spectacular results. Pinning is a concept in the Option markets where Stocks, ETFs or Index Options are “pinned” down to a certain strike price, which in general also coincides with a round number – For example AAPL got pinned at 520 on Friday, GOOG got pinned at 540. The Pinning phenomenon works because big hedge funds and Prop traders have exposure at certain strike prices in the Options markets, and it is in their advantage to see expiry happen very close to these strikes.

Trade Idea – BIDU Bear Call

Anybody watching BIDU in the last 6 weeks or so deserves to be in the doghouse if they didn’t take a bullish trade (myself included). It bounced strongly off a bottom of 85, and it gave good entry points at 90, 95 and more. Sadly, I missed this one and by the time I saw it, it was $100 already. The risk to reward at that point didn’t seem favorable, but its at 110 today. Talk about a slap in the face.

Trade Idea – Amazon Earnings Trade (AMZN) Straddle

Amazon (AMZN) reports earnings on January 31, and this is an Amazon Earnings Trade. Although AMZN just hit all-time highs yesterday, it’s still a wild card – Earnings could be a hit or miss. Under these circumstances, it’s best not to take a directional bet. The Feb series has seen Volatility expanding to 40 already, and I think its reasonable to assume it will increase further leading upto the earnings event, which is still over 3 weeks away.