Month: June 2012

WoW !! VIX Index at 16 exactly for one day

The market saw one of the worst sell-offs of 2012 yesterday. As we mentioned in our previous video, the VIX had fallen to about 17 by Wednesday, just at Ben Bernanke delivered the FOMC meeting press conference. (If you bought a Long Straddle at this level of the VIX, you did great – please see our previous video blog). Sure enough, the Fed didn’t give the market the fix it wanted – and coupled with some bad economic data on Thursday, the markets fell off a cliff. Adding to the woes, 16 global banks were downgraded by Moody’s, including the largest U.S. banks.

The VIX index post-Greek elections

The Vix or the “Fear” Index dropped over 10% today. Of course, this is not surprising given that the much-watched Greek elections over the weekend were what the markets wanted. The markets did indeed dodge a bullet ! However, all is not well with Spain’s 10-year bonds spiking to over 7.1% today, and that has the European and U.S. markets worried. We are entering a low-VIX environment and this can produce a few great strategies over the next 6 to 12 weeks. In this video, we discuss some of these Options strategies.

The value of my Ivy League MBA degree just went to “zero”

Okay, so I don’t mean that literally. But the point is – MBA graduates spend an enormous amount of time studying theories of classical finance, the behavior of financial markets and precise methods of valuation of companies. We pore through complicated financial statements, calculate the weighted average cost of capital to the second decimal place, plot Beta correlations on complex spreadsheets, and like magicians, can come up with detailed cash flow statements of a company for the next 5 years. How pompous is that – but I digress. Now why do we do all this – supposedly to find the fair value of what that stock should be worth. We convince ourselves (and others, unfortunately) that taking such a rigorous approach to analysis cannot result in anything but the precise values for the market, stock or company.

Something Different

A slight departure from the regular stuff we write about – not that there’s nothing interesting to write about in the world of markets, in fact there’s a lot going on. But as we try to launch optiontiger.com, I’ve personally been bogged down with all the details that go into making a great site up and running as well as dealing with all the online marketing challenges, social media, SEO, and a gazillion other things (literally !). Its overwhelming, to say the least, but exciting nonetheless.